Oscars predictions updated for all 23 categories – The Hollywood Reporter

please note: These forecasts, compiled by Scott Feinberg, “Hollywood Reporter”Executive Editor of Awards Coverage, reflects Scott’s best attempt to predict the behavior of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, no His personal preferences. It arrives at these predictions by drawing on conversations with voters and other industry insiders, analysis of marketing and awards campaigns, the results of the awards ceremonies leading up to the Oscars and the history of the Oscars themselves. There will be regular updates to reflect new developments.

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Best picture

Candidates
1. Oppenheimer (worldwide)
2. Area of ​​interest (A24)
3. Bad things (searchlight)
4. Anatomy of a fall (neon)
5. Barbie (Warner Bros.)
6. Retainers (to focus)
7. Moonflower Killers (apple)
8. Artist, band leader (Netflix)
9. American fantasy (Amazon/MGM)
10. Past life (A24)

Best director

Candidates
1. Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer)
2. Jonathan Glazer (Area of ​​interest)
3. Martin Scorsese (Moonflower Killers) – audio blogging
4. Yorgos Lanthimos (Bad things)
5. Justin Treat (Anatomy of a fall)

best actor

Candidates
1. Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) – audio blogging
2. Paul Giamatti (Retainers) – audio blogging
3. Bradley Cooper (Artist, band leader)
4. Jeffrey Wright (American fantasy)
5. Colman Domingo (Rustin)

Best Actress

Candidates
1. Lily Gladstone (Moonflower Killers)
2. Emma Stone (Bad things) – audio blogging
3. Sandra Holler (Anatomy of a fall)
4. Annette Bening (Naiad) – audio blogging
5. Carey Mulligan (Artist, band leader) – audio blogging

Best Supporting Actor

Candidates
1. Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)
2. Mark Ruffalo (Bad things)
3. Ryan Gosling (Barbie)
4. Robert De Niro (Moonflower Killers) – audio blogging
5. Sterling K. brown (American fantasy) – audio blogging

Best Supporting Actress

Candidates
1. Davin Joey Randolph (Retainers)
2. America Ferrera (Barbie)
3. Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer) – audio blogging
4. Jodie Foster (Naiad) – audio blogging
5. Danielle Brooks (Violet) – audio blogging

Best Adapted Screenplay

Candidates
1. Oppenheimer (Christopher Nolan)
2. Barbie (Noah Baumbach and Greta Gerwig) – Gerwig Podcast
3. Area of ​​interest (Jonathan Glazer)
4. American fantasy (Cord Jefferson)
5. Bad things (Tony McNamara)

Best Original Screenplay

Candidates
1. Anatomy of a fall (Arthur Harary and Justin Treat)
2. Retainers (David Hemmingson)
3. Past life (Celine song)
4. Artist, band leader (Bradley Cooper and Josh Singer)
5. May December (Sammy Burch and Alex Mechanic)

Best global feature

Candidates
1. Area of ​​interest (United kingdom)
2. Snow Association (Spain)
3. Teacher’s lounge (Germany)
4. Perfect days (Japan) – Wim Wenders Podcast
5. Ayo Capitano (Italy)

Best Documentary Film

Candidates
1. 20 days in Mariupol (TV program)
2. Bobby Wine: The People’s President (National Geographic)
3. Eternal memory (MTV)
4. Four girls (Kino Lorber)
5. To kill the tiger (Still seeking distribution in the US)

Best animation feature

Candidates
1. Spider-Man: Through the Spider-Verse (Sony)
2. The boy and the heron (G Kids)
3. Nimona (Netflix)
4. racist (Pixar) – Pete Docter Podcast
5. Robot dreams (neon)

Best cinematography

Candidates
1. Oppenheimer (Hoyt van Hoytema)
2. Bad things (Robbie Ryan)
3. Moonflower Killers (Rodrigo Brito)
4. Artist, band leader (Matthew Libatique)
5. El Conde (Edward Lachman)

Best fashion design

Candidates
1. Barbie (Jacqueline Doran)
2. Bad things (Holly Waddington)
3. Oppenheimer (Ellen Mirojnick)
4. Moonflower Killers (Jacqueline West)
5. Napoleon (David Crossman and Janty Yates)

Best movie editing

Candidates
1. Oppenheimer (Jennifer Lamy)
2. Bad things (Yorgos Mavropsaridis)
3. Retainers (Kevin’s tent)
4. Moonflower Killers (Thelma Schoonmaker)
5. Anatomy of a fall (Laurent Senechal)

Best makeup and hairstyle

Candidates
1. Artist, band leader (Kai Georgiou, Sian Greig, Kazuo Hiro and Laurie McCoy Bell)
2. Bad things (Mark Kohler, Nadia Stacey and Josh Weston)
3. Golda (Susie Battersby, Ashra Kelly Blue, Karen Hartley-Thomas)
4. Oppenheimer (Louisa Appel, Jason Hammer, Jaime Lee Mackintosh are helpful)
5. Snow Association (Ana Lopez-Puigserver, Belén Lopez-Puigserver, David Marti, Montsi Rippie)

Best original score

Candidates
1. Oppenheimer (Ludwig Goransson)
2. Moonflower Killers (Robbie Robertson)
3. Bad things (Jerskin Fendrix)
4. American fantasy (Laura Karpman)
5. Indiana Jones and the Connection of Destiny (John Williams)

Best original song

Candidates
1. “What were you created for?” (Barbie), Billie Eilish and Finneas – Podcasts (1 and 2)
2. “I’m Just Ken” (Barbie), Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt – Podcast (Ronson)
3. “Wahzhazhe (Song for My People)” (Moonflower Killers), Scott George
4. “It never went away” (American Symphony), Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson – Podcast (Baptiste)
5. “The Fire Within” (Flamin Hot), Diane Warren – Podcast

Best production design

Candidates
1. Barbie (Sarah Greenwood and Katie Spencer)
2. Oppenheimer (Ruth DeYoung and Claire Kaufman)
3. Moonflower Killers (Jack Fisk and Adam Willis)
4. Bad things (Shauna Heath, James Price and Szosa Mihalek)
5. Napoleon (Eli Greif, Eli Greif)

Best sound

Candidates
1. Oppenheimer (Willie Burton, Richard King, Kevin O’Connell and Gary A. Rizzo)
2. Area of ​​interest (Johnny Byrne)
3. Artist, band leader (Richard King, Steve Morrow, Tom Ozanich, Jason Rudder and Dean Zupancic)
4. Mission Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part 1 (Chris Munro, James H. Mather, Chris Burdon and Mark Taylor)
5. the creator (Ian Voigt, Eric Adahl, Ethan van der Rijn, Tom Ozanich and Dean Zupancic)

Best visual effects

Candidates
1. Godzilla: Minus one (Kosuke Taguchi and Takashi Yamazaki)
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (Theo Bialik, Stephanie Cerretti, Alexis Wagsbrot and Guy Williams)
3. Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning, Part 1 (Neil Corbould, Simon Coco, Jeff Sutherland and Alex Wutke)
4. Napoleon (Henry Padgett, Neil Corbould, Charlie Henley and Luke Ewen Martin Vinoillet)
5. the creator (Jonathan Bullock, Charmaine Chan, Ian Comley and Jay Cooper)

Best animated short

Candidates
1. The war is over! Inspired by the music of John and Yoko (Brad Booker and Dave Mullins)
2. Ninety-five senses (Jared Hess and Jerusha Hess)
3. Message to a pig (Amit R. Gesselter and Tal Kantor)
4. Our uniform (Yegan submitted)
5. Sailboat (Stephanie Kleiman and Mark Reuss)

Best short documentary

Candidates
1. The ABCs of book bans (Trish Adlesic and Sheila Nevins) – Podcast (Nevins)
2. Ni Nai and Wai Po (Sam Davis and Xun Wang)
3. The last repair shop (Chris Powers and Ben Proudfoot)
4. Little Rock barber (John Hoffman and Christine Turner)
5. The island between (S. Liu Qiang and Jan Tsien)

Best live action short film

Candidates
1. The wonderful story of Henry Sugar (Wes Anderson and Steven Ralls)
2. Invincible (Samuel Caron and Vincent René Lortie)
3. Red, white and blue (Nazreen Choudhury and Sarah MacFarlane)
4. Knight of luck (Las Lesquer Noir and Christian Norlick)
5. The next one (Nicky Bentham and Misan Harriman)